Future Prospects
Recent years have seen little progress towards further restrictions on the use of the death penalty in
China. The erosion of freedom of expression and the right to receive information, after a period of
some relaxation of controls, are hindering evidence and human rights-based discussions of criminal
law. The introduction of the Overseas NGO Management Law, 2017, is indicative of increased official
aversion to international engagement. The earlier rhetoric of step by step progress towards a rule of
law in China rings hollow these days.
The Chinese government promotes a narrative of overwhelming support among the public for
retaining the death penalty. However, there are no known surveys conducted by the government of
public opinion on the use of capital punishment in China. Empirical studies that have been carried out
do indicate general public and government support for the retention of the death penalty.48 Analysis
of online discussions by Chinese netizens, in a research report commissioned by The Rights Practice,
reveal a more nuanced picture. Criticism of the “barbarism” of high profile executions suggests that it
is misleading for the government to state overwhelming support for retention. Although discussions
generally favour retention of the death penalty, there are those who publicly support abolition,
especially in the long term.
High profile miscarriages of justice and wrongful executions have led to public concern over the
application of the death penalty. These cases have also encouraged online discussions about the
unfairness of the death penalty for poor and vulnerable defendants. A 2017 study of students’ views
on the death penalty, at a mainland university, revealed that concern about wrongful executions was
the main reason given by those supporting abolition, this was followed by the lack of deterrent effect
and the global trend towards abolition.49
One recent small-scale study with Chinese law students supports experience elsewhere that, when
provided with information about alternatives and the risks inherent in judicial proceedings, support
for retention of the death penalty declines.50 Anecdotal evidence also suggests that criminal defence
lawyers with experience representing those facing the death penalty in China are more likely to
support abolition than lawyers with less direct experience.
While many Chinese legal scholars believe that the long-term trend is towards abolition of the death
penalty in China, it is difficult to see what factors are likely to drive abolition in the current political
environment. Perhaps the best we can hope for in the years ahead are further restrictions on the use
of the death penalty through tighter guidelines. Despite the constraints facing civil society and public
debate in China, there remain grounds for optimism that when lawyers, students, legal scholars and
the general public have a chance to learn and reflect critically on the use of the death penalty support
for its use ebbs away.
48
See, for example: Oberwittler, Dietrich and Qi, Shenghui. ‘Public Opinion on the Death Penalty in China. Results from a
General Population Survey Conducted in Three Provinces in 2007/08.’ Max Planck Institute for Foreign and International
Criminal Law. 2008.
49 Liang, Bin, Liu Jianhong, Lu, Hong.‘Variability of death penalty attitude in China: an empirical test of the Marshall
hypotheses’. Crime, Law, and Social Change. pp 276, 293. 28 January, 2019.
50 Private communication with authors.
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